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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+2.17vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.53+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+4.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.78-0.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.24+4.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+5.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.80+4.70vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.57+6.02vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.87+2.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.75+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.60-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-0.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.19-0.51vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.73-3.57vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.43-1.56vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.47+0.95vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-5.49vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-6.35vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.99-7.25vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.22-3.85vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.47-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.3%1st Place
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4.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.530.2%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Berkeley1.780.2%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.46University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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15.02University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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12.24San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.58University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.49University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.43University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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17.95Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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12.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.75San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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17.15University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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17.95Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Zieba | 25.4% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schack | 15.9% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holden Payne | 19.8% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Lange | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 11.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.