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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+2.17vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.53+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.78+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.24+5.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+6.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.75+4.49vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.90vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.87+3.02vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+2.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.43+3.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.73-0.42vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-0.48vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.47+3.67vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-2.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.60-5.03vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-2.22vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.47-0.33vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.22-1.81vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.29-10.22vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.80-9.17vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.79-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.3%1st Place
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4.08California Poly Maritime Academy1.530.2%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Berkeley1.780.2%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.24University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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12.02San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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11.58University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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12.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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17.67Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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10.97University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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17.67Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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17.19University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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9.78San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.800.0%1st Place
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18.37University of California at San Diego-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Zieba | 25.4% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schack | 15.9% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holden Payne | 19.9% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Lange | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Nelson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 20.9% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.