← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+6.55vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+1.18vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.78+0.45vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.53-0.02vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+6.26vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.73+5.74vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+4.98vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University-0.87+3.86vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.24+0.48vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-4.75vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-1.57+3.63vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+0.51vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-1.43+1.47vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.60-3.05vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-2.82vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.40vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-0.29-7.37vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.80-5.87vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-2.79-0.47vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-2.22-2.94vs Predicted
-
21Arizona State University-2.47-3.40vs Predicted
-
22Arizona State University-2.47-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.55University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
-
3.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
-
3.45University of California at Berkeley1.780.2%1st Place
-
3.98California Poly Maritime Academy1.530.2%1st Place
-
11.26University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
-
11.74University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
-
11.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
-
11.86San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
9.48University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
5.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
-
14.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
-
12.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
14.47University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
10.95University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
-
12.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
11.6University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
9.63San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
12.13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.800.0%1st Place
-
18.53University of California at San Diego-2.790.0%1st Place
-
17.06University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
-
17.6Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
-
17.6Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keelin Davis | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 24.4% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holden Payne | 20.4% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schack | 15.5% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mingyi Chen | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Lange | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Nelson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 40.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 21.9% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 21.9% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.