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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+7.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.74+4.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.18+5.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.01+5.84vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.54+3.07vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.48+1.76vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.85-0.64vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07+1.69vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97+3.46vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.64-3.00vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.38+0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.20-3.31vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.59-5.30vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.44-5.85vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.01-5.57vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-3.27vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.56-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Roger Williams University1.846.2%1st Place
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6.55Brown University1.749.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University1.186.7%1st Place
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9.84Brown University1.014.4%1st Place
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8.07Fordham University1.546.8%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College1.487.3%1st Place
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6.36Harvard University1.859.8%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University1.074.4%1st Place
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12.46Salve Regina University0.971.9%1st Place
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7.0Stanford University1.648.2%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College0.383.4%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island1.204.9%1st Place
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7.7Yale University1.598.6%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University1.447.1%1st Place
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9.43Boston University1.014.9%1st Place
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12.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.5%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont0.564.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Cam Spriggs | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Harrison Strom | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 22.9% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% |
| Max Sigel | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Robert Finora | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 25.6% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.