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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine3.43+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+1.93vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+3.58vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.62+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.57-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.04-3.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.56-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.80+0.57vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.21-4.07vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.82-6.43vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.80-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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5.11University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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8.66Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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6.93Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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10.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 20.5% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hester | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Erik Lund | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 7.2% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 7.7% |
| Mallory Schluter | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Sharp | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.3% |
| Sean Patno | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 32.8% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Craig Schifferns | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jean Rutledge | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.