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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.00+2.43vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54-0.68vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.73+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33+1.00vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.95-2.53vs Predicted
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6Davidson College-2.33+0.13vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.79-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43North Carolina State University-0.000.1%1st Place
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1.32North Carolina State University2.540.7%1st Place
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4.25William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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5.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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2.47Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.13Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.4Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Marcom | 5.9% | 18.2% | 31.3% | 23.7% | 14.3% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Scott Harris | 74.0% | 20.6% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 4.0% | 6.7% | 16.0% | 31.1% | 22.9% | 14.4% | 4.9% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.2% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 28.4% | 24.6% | 15.1% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 13.9% | 43.9% | 27.2% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 22.9% | 53.9% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 32.0% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.