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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+0.30vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.95+0.40vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.00+0.40vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.73+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33+0.01vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.79-0.45vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-2.33-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3North Carolina State University2.540.8%1st Place
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2.4Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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3.4North Carolina State University-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.3William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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5.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.55Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.03Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 75.5% | 19.9% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 15.4% | 46.0% | 25.5% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Marcom | 5.8% | 16.3% | 35.6% | 23.0% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 1.3% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 28.2% | 24.0% | 15.9% | 4.4% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.1% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 18.3% | 27.1% | 25.5% | 14.8% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.6% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 21.0% | 30.2% | 28.5% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 23.4% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.