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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+0.25vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.73+1.96vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.17+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33+0.76vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.95-2.71vs Predicted
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6Davidson College-2.33-0.02vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.79-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.25North Carolina State University2.540.8%1st Place
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3.96William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.53North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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4.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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2.29Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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5.98Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 78.5% | 18.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 2.5% | 9.5% | 28.2% | 26.9% | 19.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Will Brooks | 2.1% | 7.2% | 15.9% | 22.4% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 9.7% |
| Harley Lowery | 0.7% | 5.7% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 22.3% | 20.9% | 13.7% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 15.2% | 52.9% | 22.2% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.4% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 50.0% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.6% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 29.2% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.