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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+0.26vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.95+0.26vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.73+0.97vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.17+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-0.28vs Predicted
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6Davidson College-2.33-0.01vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.79-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26North Carolina State University2.540.8%1st Place
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2.26Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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3.97William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.56North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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4.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.99Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.23Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 77.9% | 18.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 15.3% | 54.5% | 21.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Bunting | 3.5% | 9.4% | 26.9% | 26.3% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 4.0% |
| Will Brooks | 0.8% | 6.1% | 18.7% | 21.8% | 24.1% | 19.8% | 8.7% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.1% | 5.6% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 22.4% | 20.7% | 12.8% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 51.5% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.9% | 3.9% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 28.7% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.