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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+0.32vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.00+1.38vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.73+1.27vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.95-1.54vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33+0.01vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.79-0.46vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-2.33-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32North Carolina State University2.540.7%1st Place
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3.38North Carolina State University-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.27William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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2.46Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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5.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.54Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.02Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 73.8% | 21.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Marcom | 5.4% | 19.5% | 32.6% | 23.6% | 13.0% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Parker Bunting | 3.4% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 28.2% | 23.7% | 15.2% | 5.2% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 15.2% | 42.7% | 27.4% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.0% | 3.9% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 26.5% | 26.4% | 14.3% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.8% | 1.8% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 22.1% | 29.9% | 28.3% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 22.5% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.