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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+0.31vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.73+2.26vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.00+0.40vs Predicted
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4Davidson College-2.33+2.16vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.95-2.54vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.79-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.31North Carolina State University2.540.7%1st Place
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4.26William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.4North Carolina State University-0.000.1%1st Place
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6.16Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
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2.46Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.56Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 74.5% | 20.7% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 2.3% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 29.0% | 25.4% | 13.8% | 4.3% |
| Samuel Marcom | 6.3% | 16.5% | 32.4% | 26.2% | 13.8% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.3% | 0.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 56.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 14.2% | 45.7% | 24.5% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 33.1% | 27.7% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.9% | 5.2% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 27.0% | 26.6% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.