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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+0.23vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-1.17+2.54vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.95-0.74vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.730.00vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-0.25vs Predicted
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6Davidson College-2.33-0.03vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.79-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.23North Carolina State University2.540.8%1st Place
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4.54North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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2.26Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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4.0William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.97Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.25Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 80.3% | 17.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 1.5% | 6.3% | 15.9% | 26.5% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 9.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 14.4% | 55.2% | 22.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 1.1% | 10.6% | 28.7% | 25.5% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.2% | 5.0% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 23.9% | 20.8% | 12.9% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 51.7% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 1.1% | 3.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 29.0% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.