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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+0.26vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.95+0.27vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.73+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33+0.79vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.17-0.47vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.79-0.68vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-2.33-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26North Carolina State University2.540.8%1st Place
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2.27Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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3.96William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.53North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.32Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.88Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 77.6% | 18.9% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 15.4% | 54.7% | 20.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 3.5% | 9.4% | 27.3% | 25.7% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Harley Lowery | 0.7% | 5.4% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 23.6% | 23.0% | 12.1% |
| Will Brooks | 1.8% | 6.3% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 9.0% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.7% | 2.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 25.6% | 25.9% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.3% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.