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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+0.36vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.77+2.83vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.95-0.38vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.73+0.76vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.00-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-0.43vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-2.33-0.08vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.79-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36North Carolina State University2.540.7%1st Place
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4.83University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
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2.62Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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4.76William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.75North Carolina State University-0.000.1%1st Place
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5.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.92Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
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6.2Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 72.1% | 20.8% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 2.6% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 22.7% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 4.7% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 14.6% | 37.8% | 27.4% | 14.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 2.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Marcom | 5.2% | 16.1% | 26.6% | 21.8% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 22.3% | 13.2% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 53.4% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.