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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.95+3.90vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine3.43-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80+4.53vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.12-0.91vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.56-1.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.80-0.60vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University2.21-4.92vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.62-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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10.53University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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7.09University of Hawaii2.120.1%1st Place
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8.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.800.0%1st Place
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7.08Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.73Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hanson | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Hester | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 21.6% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Patno | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 21.0% | 33.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 15.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Allen Sterling | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Erik Lund | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
| Brooke Sharp | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% |
| Jean Rutledge | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 29.3% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.