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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.01+8.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.85+4.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+5.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.74+2.59vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.64+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.56+5.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.30+0.34vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+0.78vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+2.39vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-3.52vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.38-0.81vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.18-4.81vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.54-5.94vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.01-5.50vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-3.25vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.44-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8Brown University1.014.2%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University1.8511.4%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University1.846.5%1st Place
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6.59Brown University1.749.7%1st Place
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7.11Stanford University1.648.5%1st Place
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11.02University of Vermont0.563.4%1st Place
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7.78Bowdoin College1.486.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island1.306.5%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University1.074.5%1st Place
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12.39Salve Regina University0.972.5%1st Place
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7.48Yale University1.596.5%1st Place
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11.19Connecticut College0.382.9%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University1.186.9%1st Place
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8.06Fordham University1.546.5%1st Place
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9.5Boston University1.014.7%1st Place
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12.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.2%1st Place
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8.25George Washington University1.447.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Cam Spriggs | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 21.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Robert Finora | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 26.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.