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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+4.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.37+10.95vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+14.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+3.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.68+6.49vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.24-0.51vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+2.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.45-0.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-2.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-5.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.60+6.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.66-4.25vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-4.69vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.02+4.84vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+1.10vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.03+2.72vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-0.11vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.19-3.14vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.09-5.50vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.59+1.37vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.87+1.47vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.87-3.66vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.43-2.21vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-1.97-1.10vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-8.24vs Predicted
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27University of California at Berkeley-0.24-11.22vs Predicted
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28Arizona State University-1.40-6.65vs Predicted
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29University of California at Los Angeles-1.12-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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17.1California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Berkeley0.680.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
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9.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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7.9University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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17.74University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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9.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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19.84University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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17.1California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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19.72University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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17.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.86University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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22.37University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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23.47University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
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19.34San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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21.79Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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23.9Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.78University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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21.35Arizona State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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20.01University of California at Los Angeles-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Paquin | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 19.1% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Peyton Nienaber | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Filip Teoharevic | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dinkel | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.