← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.00vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego1.45+6.24vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+3.21vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.24+0.33vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+11.66vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.96vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+1.03vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.66-1.67vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+7.66vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-0.19+4.83vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.58vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.24+3.49vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.35vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.12+4.91vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley0.68-4.45vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-10.00vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-0.13vs Predicted
-
19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-1.17vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-1.03-0.13vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-0.60-3.13vs Predicted
-
22San Diego State University-0.87-3.03vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.04vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Berkeley0.37-10.78vs Predicted
-
25Arizona State University-1.40-3.21vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis-1.87-2.64vs Predicted
-
27Arizona State University-1.43-5.62vs Predicted
-
28University of California at Irvine-1.59-5.87vs Predicted
-
29Arizona State University-1.97-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
-
8.24University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
-
6.0California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
-
5.33University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
-
17.66California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
-
9.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
9.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
-
7.33University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
-
17.66California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
-
15.83University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
-
9.42University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
-
16.49University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
14.35University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
19.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.120.0%1st Place
-
11.55University of California at Berkeley0.680.0%1st Place
-
7.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
-
17.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
-
17.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
-
19.87University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
17.87University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
-
18.97San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
19.96University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
13.22University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
-
21.79Arizona State University-1.400.0%1st Place
-
23.36University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
-
21.38Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
-
22.13University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
-
23.42Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 19.6% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dinkel | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peyton Nienaber | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Teoharevic | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.