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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.02vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+15.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+4.07vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.24+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.19+10.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+3.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45+1.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-1.91vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-3.05vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+7.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.09+3.59vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.66-4.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.59+9.72vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-4.49vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.37-2.06vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.68-4.33vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-7.19vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.87+1.35vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-0.99vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-0.24-3.71vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.60-2.94vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.12-1.56vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-0.36-5.97vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.40-2.27vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.03-4.75vs Predicted
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26Arizona State University-1.43-4.28vs Predicted
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27Arizona State University-1.97-3.44vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-1.87-4.64vs Predicted
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29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-11.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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17.48California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
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15.79University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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5.95California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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17.48California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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14.59University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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22.72University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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12.94University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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11.67University of California at Berkeley0.680.0%1st Place
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9.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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19.35San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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18.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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16.29University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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18.06University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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20.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.120.0%1st Place
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17.03University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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21.73Arizona State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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20.25University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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21.72Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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23.56Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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23.36University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
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17.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 20.0% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Peyton Nienaber | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dinkel | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Filip Teoharevic | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.