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📊 Prediction Accuracy
51.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+5.26vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+15.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+0.96vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.24+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+1.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.45-0.03vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.37+3.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.10+3.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.68-1.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.19+1.72vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+2.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.44vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-7.60vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.24-1.73vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.59+3.35vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.40+1.67vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-0.87-1.64vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-4.09vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.43-1.12vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.97-0.16vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-6.85vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-1.12-5.63vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis-1.87-3.86vs Predicted
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28University of California at San Diego-1.03-8.16vs Predicted
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29University of California at Irvine-1.02-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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17.36California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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6.09California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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7.51University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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7.97University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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9.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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15.92University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Berkeley0.680.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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17.36California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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14.56University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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16.27University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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22.35University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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21.67Arizona State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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19.36San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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17.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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21.88Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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23.84Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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18.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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20.37University of California at Los Angeles-1.120.0%1st Place
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23.14University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
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19.84University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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19.64University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Zieba | 7.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 21.2% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Filip Teoharevic | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Peyton Nienaber | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dinkel | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.