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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.24+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.45+5.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+2.07vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+11.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+1.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.09+5.48vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.24+5.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.68+0.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19+2.90vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-4.65vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.87+4.20vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.37-2.98vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.97+6.67vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-0.21vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-1.08vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.40+1.69vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-3.01vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.43-0.24vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.12-2.48vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.03-3.91vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-1.59-2.52vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-1.87-2.60vs Predicted
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27University of California at Irvine-1.02-7.42vs Predicted
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28University of California at San Diego-0.10-12.62vs Predicted
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29California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-23.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
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8.21University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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17.79California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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14.48University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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16.15University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Berkeley0.680.0%1st Place
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15.9University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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19.2San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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23.67Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.79California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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17.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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21.69Arizona State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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17.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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21.76Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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20.52University of California at Los Angeles-1.120.0%1st Place
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20.09University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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22.48University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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23.4University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
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19.58University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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15.38University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.83California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 19.0% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Filip Teoharevic | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Peyton Nienaber | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dinkel | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.