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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.00+3.18vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+4.44vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+9.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.02+5.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.50+1.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.38+4.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-0.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.29-0.69vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+2.67vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.11-1.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.15-1.50vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.99+1.51vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+1.12vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.76-2.52vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-8.90vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.71+0.11vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.44-2.03vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.65-1.95vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.22-0.96vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-4.83vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley-0.76-9.88vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine-1.27-7.79vs Predicted
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27Arizona State University-1.97-5.91vs Predicted
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28Arizona State University-1.64-8.61vs Predicted
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29Arizona State University-2.26-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of Southern California2.000.2%1st Place
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3.89California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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14.67California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.77University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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14.67California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.17University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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12.5University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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16.51San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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18.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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15.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.760.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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20.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.710.0%1st Place
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18.97University of California at San Diego-1.440.0%1st Place
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20.05University of California at Irvine-1.650.0%1st Place
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22.04University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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19.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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15.12University of California at Berkeley-0.760.0%1st Place
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18.21University of California at Irvine-1.270.0%1st Place
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21.09Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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19.39Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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22.14Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Paulsen | 18.6% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 20.6% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Matich | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kuzmack | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hughes | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Newcomer | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Archer | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hali Aniol | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Menkosky | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.