Race 12B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mallory Schluter 8.2% 8.1% 9.4% 11.4% 9.7% 9.7% 8.8% 9.3% 10.1% 6.6% 6.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Zachary Hester 10.7% 12.1% 14.2% 10.3% 10.9% 11.4% 9.1% 8.4% 5.2% 4.4% 1.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Rex Cameron 20.7% 17.7% 14.6% 12.7% 10.7% 8.7% 6.5% 4.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Cameron Hutcheson 8.6% 9.8% 9.7% 10.1% 9.5% 10.8% 10.2% 9.1% 8.9% 6.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.6%
Peter McGrath 5.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.3% 7.9% 8.6% 9.8% 8.7% 11.8% 9.4% 8.2% 4.7% 2.4%
Allen Sterling 6.2% 5.8% 5.3% 6.5% 8.7% 8.3% 10.9% 8.6% 11.9% 11.0% 8.9% 5.3% 2.6%
Jean Rutledge 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 3.7% 4.8% 6.3% 7.8% 11.4% 20.8% 32.3%
Sean Patno 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 3.1% 1.9% 3.1% 2.9% 3.6% 6.4% 7.9% 14.2% 20.5% 31.6%
Madeline Kennedy 13.4% 13.5% 12.6% 11.8% 11.6% 8.8% 9.3% 7.3% 5.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Erik Lund 3.8% 3.7% 4.0% 3.4% 5.1% 6.7% 7.7% 10.1% 9.2% 10.5% 13.7% 12.9% 9.2%
Michael Hanson 13.5% 13.2% 12.2% 12.4% 11.2% 9.4% 8.2% 8.8% 5.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
Ashley Vincent 3.3% 2.4% 3.6% 4.3% 5.4% 5.9% 6.7% 8.4% 8.4% 15.6% 12.1% 13.7% 10.2%
Brooke Sharp 2.3% 3.4% 3.1% 3.5% 5.1% 6.1% 6.2% 8.1% 9.7% 11.9% 15.1% 15.6% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.