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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+5.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.01+7.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.74+3.51vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+4.42vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.59+2.56vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.64+1.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.84+1.50vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.54-0.02vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48-1.26vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.56+0.95vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.30-3.71vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.44-4.94vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-4.13vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.38-3.90vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.01-6.55vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Harvard University1.8511.2%1st Place
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9.68Brown University1.014.5%1st Place
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6.51Brown University1.748.9%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University1.185.8%1st Place
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7.56Yale University1.598.9%1st Place
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7.1Stanford University1.647.9%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University1.846.3%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University1.547.2%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College1.487.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Vermont0.562.9%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University0.971.7%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.307.5%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University1.446.9%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University1.074.5%1st Place
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11.1Connecticut College0.382.9%1st Place
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9.45Boston University1.014.0%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whidden | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 23.8% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Robert Finora | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.