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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.00+3.11vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.11+6.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+2.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.38+6.50vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.02+3.84vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.15+3.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.50-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.29-0.97vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.76+2.33vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.47+4.89vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.99+1.35vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-1.47+2.89vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.44+1.55vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.64+1.57vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.97+2.02vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.65-0.32vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-0.76-5.57vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-13.47vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-5.14vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.71-4.57vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.22-3.31vs Predicted
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26Arizona State University-2.26-3.79vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-17.12vs Predicted
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28University of California at Irvine-1.27-10.48vs Predicted
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29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-9.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Southern California2.000.2%1st Place
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3.87California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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15.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.760.0%1st Place
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18.89California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
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16.35San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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18.89California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
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18.55University of California at San Diego-1.440.0%1st Place
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19.57Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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21.02Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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19.68University of California at Irvine-1.650.0%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Berkeley-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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17.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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19.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.710.0%1st Place
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21.69University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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22.21Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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9.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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17.52University of California at Irvine-1.270.0%1st Place
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19.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Paulsen | 20.0% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 20.3% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 8.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Matich | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hughes | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Menkosky | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Newcomer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Archer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kuzmack | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hali Aniol | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.