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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.02+9.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+3.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.11+4.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.50+2.20vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.00-3.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-0.07vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-1.47+9.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.38+2.46vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.76+3.23vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+5.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-4.20vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.90vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-1.47+2.12vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.99-1.54vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.76-3.66vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.29-9.90vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.97+0.09vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.44-3.18vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.65-3.54vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.22-2.40vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-1.64-5.77vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-6.42vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.71-7.32vs Predicted
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28Arizona State University-2.26-6.23vs Predicted
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29University of California at Irvine-1.27-11.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
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12.01University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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4.05University of Southern California2.000.2%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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19.12California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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15.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.760.0%1st Place
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18.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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19.12California State University Monterey Bay-1.470.0%1st Place
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16.46San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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15.34University of California at Berkeley-0.760.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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21.09Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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18.82University of California at San Diego-1.440.0%1st Place
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19.46University of California at Irvine-1.650.0%1st Place
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21.6University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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19.23Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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19.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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19.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.710.0%1st Place
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21.77Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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17.66University of California at Irvine-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 19.6% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 19.5% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Matich | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clover Stubbert | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Archer | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Menkosky | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hughes | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Newcomer | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kuzmack | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Hali Aniol | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.