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📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.36+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.00+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+4.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+2.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+3.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.50+1.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.38+4.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.02+2.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.15+1.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.60vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.76+2.82vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+0.83vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.29-1.76vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.17vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.29-6.58vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+0.36vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.44+0.03vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.76-4.27vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.71-0.50vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.64-2.20vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.26-1.01vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.22-2.02vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-1.27-6.61vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-7.35vs Predicted
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28University of California at Irvine-1.65-8.45vs Predicted
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29Arizona State University-1.97-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Southern California2.000.2%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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13.91University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.61University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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15.82University of California at Berkeley-0.760.0%1st Place
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14.83California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.24San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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14.83California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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18.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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19.03University of California at San Diego-1.440.0%1st Place
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15.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.760.0%1st Place
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20.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.710.0%1st Place
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19.8Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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21.99Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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21.98University of California at Davis-2.220.0%1st Place
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18.39University of California at Irvine-1.270.0%1st Place
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19.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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19.55University of California at Irvine-1.650.0%1st Place
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21.17Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 19.1% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 20.2% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Archer | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hughes | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Matich | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kuzmack | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quattrucci | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Hali Aniol | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian Newcomer | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Menkosky | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.