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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+4.25vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.18+5.17vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+0.50vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+3.67vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.64+13.84vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.95+1.96vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.34+2.42vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.17-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.00vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-1.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.13+2.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.09+2.57vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.28-3.49vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-0.63vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.99vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.95-4.75vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University0.21-3.29vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University0.12-4.01vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.64-1.16vs Predicted
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22Tufts University2.83-16.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Southern California2.180.0%1st Place
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4.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.67California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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19.84Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.96Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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7.38George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.42University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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8.34Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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10.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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10.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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15.99University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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16.57University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.51Texas A&M University at Galveston1.280.0%1st Place
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15.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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15.71Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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15.99Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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19.84Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.0% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 68.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Hankins | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 68.7% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.