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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.94vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+6.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+3.21vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.95+8.00vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+1.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+5.92vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.18-0.03vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.95-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.23vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.64+8.63vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.13+3.95vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.17-4.70vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+1.51vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-4.76vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.34-4.53vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.28-5.35vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.09-1.17vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University0.21-3.29vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University0.12-3.96vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.64-1.37vs Predicted
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22Tufts University2.83-16.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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8.63California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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4.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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13.0University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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7.71George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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8.95Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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19.63Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.95University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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8.3Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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15.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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10.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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11.65Texas A&M University at Galveston1.280.0%1st Place
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16.83University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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15.71Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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16.04Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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19.63Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.5% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 14.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 11.9% | 65.6% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Hankins | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 11.9% | 65.6% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.