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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.92vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.18+6.09vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.17+5.14vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.95+4.84vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+4.20vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.36vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.04vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-3.80vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston1.28+0.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.88vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.12+2.66vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.64+5.48vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.34-3.91vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.13-0.58vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.95-4.35vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.65vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.03vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-1.25-1.11vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.64-1.52vs Predicted
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22Tufts University2.83-16.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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8.09University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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8.14Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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8.84Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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4.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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8.36California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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10.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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7.36George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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11.3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.280.0%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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15.66Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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19.48Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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15.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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16.97University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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18.89Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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19.48Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.59Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.7% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Hankins | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 22.7% | 50.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 30.5% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 22.7% | 50.5% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.