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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.74+5.43vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.84+6.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+6.40vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.01+5.23vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.38+6.08vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.64+1.03vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+0.77vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.85-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.56+1.96vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.59-2.56vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.20-2.49vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07-2.40vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.44-4.79vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-0.95vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-2.36vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.18-7.60vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.17-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Brown University1.7410.5%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University1.845.4%1st Place
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9.4Boston University1.015.1%1st Place
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9.23Brown University1.014.9%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College0.383.1%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University1.649.5%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College1.487.0%1st Place
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6.04Harvard University1.8511.6%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont0.562.3%1st Place
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7.44Yale University1.598.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island1.206.5%1st Place
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9.6Northeastern University1.074.5%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University1.445.9%1st Place
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13.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.5%1st Place
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12.64Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University1.185.8%1st Place
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8.81Fordham University1.176.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| Thomas Whidden | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Max Sigel | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 25.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 24.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.