Race 13B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rex Cameron 21.2% 17.4% 15.2% 11.2% 12.4% 8.1% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline Kennedy 13.1% 13.0% 14.2% 12.4% 11.5% 9.2% 8.1% 7.8% 4.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Cameron Hutcheson 8.1% 10.3% 9.5% 10.4% 9.4% 10.7% 10.4% 9.6% 8.8% 5.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Brooke Sharp 2.7% 2.7% 4.0% 4.1% 4.4% 6.9% 6.6% 7.7% 10.8% 10.9% 15.5% 13.3% 10.4%
Mallory Schluter 9.2% 10.0% 8.6% 9.9% 10.3% 8.8% 9.1% 11.2% 8.7% 6.4% 4.4% 2.3% 1.1%
Erik Lund 3.4% 3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 4.1% 7.0% 6.2% 9.0% 10.2% 12.4% 15.3% 10.2% 9.1%
Michael Hanson 13.7% 11.8% 12.8% 11.8% 10.2% 9.9% 10.2% 7.1% 5.5% 4.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Peter McGrath 6.6% 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 7.3% 8.7% 9.9% 11.5% 10.3% 10.8% 6.9% 5.4% 1.7%
Jean Rutledge 1.2% 2.1% 1.6% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 2.8% 3.3% 5.1% 8.5% 11.3% 20.1% 35.1%
Allen Sterling 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 6.5% 8.8% 8.2% 9.7% 8.5% 10.6% 10.5% 8.6% 7.4% 3.2%
Sean Patno 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.7% 3.0% 2.7% 4.1% 4.7% 6.1% 9.4% 13.2% 21.8% 28.6%
Zachary Hester 10.9% 12.1% 12.2% 11.2% 10.5% 11.1% 9.5% 7.4% 7.1% 3.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Ashley Vincent 2.8% 3.0% 3.3% 4.8% 5.2% 5.3% 7.5% 7.9% 9.9% 12.1% 14.2% 14.6% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.