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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.93vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.18+5.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.15vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.17+3.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+4.28vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.63-0.50vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston1.28+3.37vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.84vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.43+9.11vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.76vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.12+3.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+2.33vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-5.46vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.95-2.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.13-0.40vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.34-5.64vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-1.25+1.12vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.09-2.63vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.43-0.89vs Predicted
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21Tufts University2.83-15.02vs Predicted
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22Northwestern University1.95-13.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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8.22University of Southern California2.180.0%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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8.29Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.37Texas A&M University at Galveston1.280.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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19.11Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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10.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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15.8Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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15.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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8.54California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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12.63University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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15.6University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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19.12Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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16.37University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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19.11Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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5.98Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.75Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.8% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Hankins | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 22.3% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 28.9% | 38.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 22.3% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.