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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.99vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.18+6.18vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.16vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.63+1.66vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.17+2.34vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.24vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.95+3.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.12vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.95-2.09vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.28-0.27vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.43+6.30vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.13vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+0.07vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.25+2.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.77vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.34-6.44vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis0.13-3.31vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University0.12-4.28vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.43-1.70vs Predicted
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22Tufts University2.83-16.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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8.18University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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4.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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6.66George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.34Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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10.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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8.34California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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8.91Northwestern University1.950.1%1st Place
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11.73Texas A&M University at Galveston1.280.0%1st Place
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19.3Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.87University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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15.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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18.94Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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16.23University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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15.69University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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15.72Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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19.3Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.2% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Hankins | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 24.8% | 47.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 28.0% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 24.8% | 47.2% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.