← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.53+3.00vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.64vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University1.95+6.11vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.17+4.24vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.38vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis0.13+10.00vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.18+1.12vs Predicted
-
8Santa Clara University0.21+7.39vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.63-2.48vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami1.34+1.52vs Predicted
-
11California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-2.40vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington0.95+1.08vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+2.58vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.84vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-4.76vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.93vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.28-5.37vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-1.43+1.65vs Predicted
-
19Western Washington University0.12-3.01vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.66vs Predicted
-
21Arizona State University-1.43-1.35vs Predicted
-
22Tufts University2.83-16.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
-
4.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
-
9.11Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
-
8.24Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
-
6.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
-
16.0University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
8.12University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
-
15.39Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.52George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
-
11.52University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
-
8.6California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.0%1st Place
-
13.08University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
-
15.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
10.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
-
10.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
13.07University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.63Texas A&M University at Galveston1.280.0%1st Place
-
19.65Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
-
15.99Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
-
17.34University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
-
19.65Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
-
5.74Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.7% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Hankins | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 60.6% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 60.6% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 11.4% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.