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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.85vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.43vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+5.50vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.63+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.06vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+4.32vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.34+4.53vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.95+0.69vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.43+9.76vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.28+1.52vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.17-2.79vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.95+0.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.23vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.12+0.30vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University0.21-0.98vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.11vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California2.18-9.83vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.43-0.24vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.43vs Predicted
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21Tufts University2.83-15.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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8.5California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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6.47George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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10.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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8.69Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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18.76Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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11.52Texas A&M University at Galveston1.280.0%1st Place
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8.21Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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12.77University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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15.3Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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15.02Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Southern California2.180.0%1st Place
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18.76Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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16.57University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 21.6% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 16.0% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 61.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Hankins | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 61.8% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 24.4% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.