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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.34+9.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+3.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.89vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+3.41vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+4.22vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.63-0.42vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.95+0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.95+3.46vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.17-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.63vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.12+3.30vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-8.39vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.18-6.04vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.28-3.76vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.43+2.40vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-1.25+1.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.09-2.25vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.32vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.43-1.60vs Predicted
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21Tufts University2.83-15.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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11.11University of Miami1.340.0%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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8.41California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.0%1st Place
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10.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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6.58George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.71Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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8.06Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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15.3Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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7.96University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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11.24Texas A&M University at Galveston1.280.0%1st Place
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18.4Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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18.1Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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15.75University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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18.4Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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5.92Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 22.5% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Scotti | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.7% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Hankins | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 23.2% | 48.1% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 30.0% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 23.2% | 48.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.