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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+4.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+1.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+5.36vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.89vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+5.13vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.84+2.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+6.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+0.79vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.41-2.51vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.19+4.61vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.22-4.64vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.26vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.79-1.50vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.93-6.87vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.26+3.93vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-0.95+0.63vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-0.01-2.57vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.08vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.26-0.07vs Predicted
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21Texas A&M University at Galveston0.11-6.12vs Predicted
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22University of Southern California1.75-13.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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3.76Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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4.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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8.8Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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13.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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6.49George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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15.61University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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13.26University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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8.13Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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19.93Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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17.63Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.43Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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17.92University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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19.93Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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14.88Texas A&M University at Galveston0.110.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 21.6% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 14.2% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 66.6% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 25.1% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 28.3% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 66.6% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Lack | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.