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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+2.75vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.81vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+5.61vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.93+4.07vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.84+3.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+2.97vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.94+0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.75+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.22-1.98vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.41-3.49vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-5.52vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.05vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.26+6.87vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-0.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.28vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.49+0.25vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.19-1.58vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-0.01-2.85vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-0.95-1.41vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.29vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.26-1.13vs Predicted
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22Texas A&M University at Galveston0.11-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.61California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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8.07Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.47Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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6.51George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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9.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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19.87Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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16.25University of Washington-0.490.0%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.15Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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17.59Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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17.71University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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19.87Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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14.4Texas A&M University at Galveston0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 21.9% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wolcott | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 24.9% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Lack | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.