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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.88vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.22+4.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.49vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.93+3.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.94+2.32vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.75+1.69vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.41-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-0.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+3.91vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.19vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.19+3.64vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy1.51-3.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.94vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.40+3.34vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.84-7.51vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston0.11-2.40vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-0.01-2.73vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-0.95-1.43vs Predicted
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20University of Washington0.79-7.62vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.40-2.66vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-3.06-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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3.76Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.16University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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8.24Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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6.36George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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13.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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9.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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15.64University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.84California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.0%1st Place
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13.06University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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18.34Arizona State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.49Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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14.6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.110.0%1st Place
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15.27Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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17.57Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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18.34Arizona State University-1.400.0%1st Place
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20.43University of California at Irvine-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 14.2% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 21.2% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Filip Teoharevic | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 18.6% | 35.8% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Lack | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 23.3% | 25.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Filip Teoharevic | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 18.6% | 35.8% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Makayla Berndt | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 78.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.