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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.56+9.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.01+7.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.48+4.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.85+2.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.59+2.42vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.44+2.03vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.74-0.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+4.63vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.18-0.77vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.17-1.10vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+1.53vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.01-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.20-4.44vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.84-5.54vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.38-3.84vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-6.31vs Predicted
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17Stanford University1.64-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.94University of Vermont0.563.8%1st Place
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9.57Brown University1.013.8%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College1.488.6%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University1.8510.8%1st Place
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7.42Yale University1.597.9%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University1.447.6%1st Place
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6.59Brown University1.7410.1%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.4%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University1.186.7%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University1.175.5%1st Place
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12.53Salve Regina University0.971.6%1st Place
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9.42Boston University1.014.2%1st Place
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8.56University of Rhode Island1.205.7%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University1.846.2%1st Place
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11.16Connecticut College0.382.9%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University1.073.9%1st Place
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7.08Stanford University1.648.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Harrison Strom | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Cam Spriggs | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Robert Finora | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 26.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 23.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Max Sigel | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Whidden | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.