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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.76vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.40vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+10.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.22+1.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.94+0.87vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.84+0.15vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.75-1.28vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.93-3.13vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.97+7.69vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.34-2.72vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston0.11+0.71vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.79-2.78vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.19-0.36vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-8.66vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.61-4.77vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University-0.01-3.80vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-0.95-2.22vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.97-1.31vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.02-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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3.56Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.15Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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9.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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7.87Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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19.69Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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10.28George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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14.71Texas A&M University at Galveston0.110.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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15.64University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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13.23University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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15.2Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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17.78Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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19.69Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.81University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 21.1% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 58.7% | 0.0% |
| John DeRuff | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Lack | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 24.4% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 58.7% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 25.9% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.