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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+4.45vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.93+6.20vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+6.96vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.22+3.05vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.34+5.36vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.38-2.30vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.31vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.94-0.07vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.75-0.32vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.19+3.58vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston0.11+1.76vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.84-5.60vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.47+4.60vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-7.22vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.79-4.60vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-6.76vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-0.95-1.58vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University-0.01-4.92vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.47-1.40vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-3.06-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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8.2Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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3.7Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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8.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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12.86University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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15.58University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.76Texas A&M University at Galveston0.110.0%1st Place
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8.4Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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19.6Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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12.4University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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11.24University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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17.42Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.08Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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19.6Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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20.24University of California at Irvine-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John DeRuff | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 22.4% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 15.5% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 5.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Lack | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 43.6% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 34.5% | 15.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 43.6% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Makayla Berndt | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 25.4% | 62.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.