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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+4.38vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.70vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.84+5.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+6.85vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.38-1.48vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.11+8.36vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.22+0.19vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-0.42vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.34+0.18vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.47+7.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.88vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.01+1.73vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.75-5.39vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.79-2.94vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.94-8.07vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-7.36vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.95-1.29vs Predicted
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19Northwestern University1.93-11.12vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-3.06-0.68vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.47-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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4.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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8.51Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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3.52Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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14.36Texas A&M University at Galveston0.110.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Miami2.220.1%1st Place
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8.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.0%1st Place
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10.18George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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18.66Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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14.73Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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12.06University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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9.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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16.71Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.88Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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19.32University of California at Irvine-3.060.0%1st Place
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18.66Arizona State University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 23.5% | 19.3% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Lack | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John DeRuff | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 9.8% | 46.5% | 33.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 38.5% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Makayla Berndt | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 26.3% | 63.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 9.8% | 46.5% | 33.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.