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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.14+3.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.66+3.67vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.15+7.37vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.25+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.89+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.53+0.20vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-0.38vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59-2.21vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.45vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.37-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.36-5.38vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.92-5.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.28vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.63vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-1.20-2.36vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.64-2.53vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-0.41-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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10.37California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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6.62Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.79Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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7.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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9.86Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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12.72University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.37California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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14.47Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
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12.03University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pacholski | 17.4% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 25.8% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 22.0% | 49.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brown | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.