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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.66+4.66vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.89+2.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.83vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.53+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14-0.57vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.59-0.12vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.15+3.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.40vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-2.61vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.25-2.99vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.42-1.18vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.54vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.88vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.37-6.43vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.64-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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7.83University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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5.88Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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10.12California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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6.39Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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7.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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11.82University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.46University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.12California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.57Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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13.75Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Hayes | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 12.6% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 23.9% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 28.1% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 19.1% | 57.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.