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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+6.78vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+5.38vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.89+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.14+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.53+0.06vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-0.57vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59-2.14vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.25-3.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.36-4.38vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.42vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.37-5.23vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.64-2.22vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-0.42-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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7.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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6.43Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.86Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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10.21California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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10.21California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.58University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.77Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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13.78Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 17.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 29.4% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 57.9% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.