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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+6.56vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+2.37vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.25+4.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.89+0.09vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.59+0.07vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.15+3.53vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.15+2.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.36-2.40vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-3.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.80vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.53-5.84vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.64-0.43vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.37-4.16vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.75-2.20vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-0.42-4.80vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.64-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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6.07Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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10.53California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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10.53California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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6.53Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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12.57University of British Columbia-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.84Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.8University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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14.62Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 18.0% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayden Polachek | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 18.8% | 54.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.