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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.74+5.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+5.47vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+6.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+4.31vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.17+3.93vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.85+0.15vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.44+1.08vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.84+0.48vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97+3.50vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.30-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.56-0.25vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.64-5.04vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-3.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.34vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.01-5.52vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.48-8.27vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.38-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Brown University1.7410.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University1.596.7%1st Place
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9.49Boston University1.014.5%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.186.2%1st Place
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8.93Fordham University1.175.2%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University1.8511.1%1st Place
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8.08George Washington University1.446.2%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University1.846.2%1st Place
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12.5Salve Regina University0.972.3%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island1.306.4%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont0.563.5%1st Place
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6.96Stanford University1.649.2%1st Place
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9.81Northeastern University1.074.3%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.132.2%1st Place
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9.48Brown University1.014.5%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College1.487.8%1st Place
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11.27Connecticut College0.383.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 22.9% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% |
| Thomas Whidden | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Robert Finora | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 25.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.