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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.66+4.67vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+4.54vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.15+7.48vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.14+0.50vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.59+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.89-3.06vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.40vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.48vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.53-4.74vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.25-4.95vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.42-1.99vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.75-2.14vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.37-6.25vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-0.64-4.26vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.64-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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6.54Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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10.48California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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4.5University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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6.05Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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7.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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10.48California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.86University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.75Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.74University of British Columbia-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.59Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Hayes | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 9.0% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 24.4% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kayden Polachek | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 54.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.