← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.89+3.89vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.14+2.23vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.39+3.38vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.91vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands0.15+5.20vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.58vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.66-1.42vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria-0.41+3.66vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington1.53-3.01vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-3.34vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University0.37-2.32vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.59-6.96vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii1.25-6.90vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.80vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.64vs Predicted
-
17Rutgers University-1.64-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
-
4.23University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
-
6.38Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
7.91University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
10.2California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
6.58University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
-
11.66University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
-
5.99University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
-
7.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
9.68Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.04Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
-
7.1University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
-
10.2California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
12.36University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
13.73Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathew Butler | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 18.0% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 12.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 15.5% | 31.2% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 16.5% | 59.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.