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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+5.57vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.25+4.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.66+2.78vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.90vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.15+4.54vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.89-1.81vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98-3.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.36-2.37vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.14-5.54vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.41+0.99vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.20+1.60vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.53-6.77vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.92-5.93vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.37-5.25vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.46vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.18vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.64-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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7.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.54California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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4.97Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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11.99University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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9.75Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.54California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.82University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.5Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 13.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 16.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 27.2% | 28.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 21.8% | 48.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.