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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+6.96vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.66+3.75vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.25+4.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14-0.48vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.79vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98-3.03vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.89-4.01vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.45vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-4.32vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.20+1.63vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.64+1.42vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.55vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.53-8.76vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.37-6.25vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.17vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-0.41-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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7.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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4.97Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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4.99University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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10.45California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.68Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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13.63University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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14.42Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.45California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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9.75Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.83University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.08University of British Columbia-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 15.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 14.5% | 29.2% | 27.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 48.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 24.4% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brown | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.