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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.15+8.72vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.89+2.59vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80+2.06vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.14-3.90vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.25-2.28vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.53-4.14vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.66-7.50vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.37-4.74vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.64-1.96vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.42-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Hawaii1.890.2%1st Place
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6.15Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.06University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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6.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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9.72California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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9.26Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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13.04Rutgers University-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Clements | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 15.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 18.5% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Rathburn | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 70.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 32.2% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.